Thursday, September 15, 2011
Attitude is Everything
Thursday, September 8, 2011
NFL Week 1
Tennessee +2.5 @ Jacksonville: Now that Peyton Manning had surgery and will likely miss the regular season the AFC South is wide open. The Titans mercifully ended the Jeff Fisher and Vince Young era this offseason and even though Matt Hassleback doesn't sound like the answer playing behind one of the best O-lines in football and handing the ball the CJ 25 times a game is a solid plan. Jacksonville cutting David Garrard this week and handing the reins to Luke McCown reinforces the point that the Jack Del Rio era has lasted far too long. Both teams season win totals are (6.5) with the Titans over at -125 and the Jags under at -150. Though neither come with a value sign I like both bets as the Titans are a sleeper who should cover the 6.5 with room to spare and I predict Blaine Gabbert will be trying to get win #4 for a Del Rio less Jags squad come January.
Cleveland -7 vs. Cincinnati: Sticking with some of the worst games on the Sunday slate, the battle of Ohio. Can you really blame Carson Palmer for not wanting to endure another year of misery in Cincy? The Bengals drafted AJ Green and jettisoned TO and Ocho-Cinco, but with a weak O-line and Ced Benson facing jail time, Palmer choose to hang it up and the reins were handed to rookie Andy Dalton. Cleveland has second year QB Colt McCoy along with a new coach in year 2 of Holmgreen's re-build by the lake and most of all a truly favorable first 10 games of the schedule. I think Dalton will be a quality QB, but starting on the road with his supporting cast is asking too much. Dick Jauron is a good hire as Defensive Cord. for the Browns and I think he will get the most out of this unit and the switch to the 4-3, like Will Arnet, Jauron is much better as a supporting actor than lead man. The Browns will rely on Hillis early, but I think WR Greg Little will emerge and be a 3rd round or better fantasy pick this time next year. The Browns total is (6.5) with the over at a reasonable -110 and with McCoy in his soph year and with the most favorable first 10 game schedule in the league the over should be buried by Xmas. As for the Bengals the total is (5.5) and the under is again a reasonable -115. Like Carson Palmer I will take the under on this total.
St. Louis +5 vs. Philadelphia: One of the best games of the day features the Dream Team in the dome vs. Bradford and the Rams. The Rams were feisty last season and are poised to take a step forward this season with more depth at the skill positions and a second year for the defense in coach Steve Spagnulo's system. They will make Vick and his O-line's day miserable Sunday and if they don't win they won't lose by more than a field goal. The Eagles deservedly have the most pre-season hype, but questions on the O-line in the defensive front seven will not only hurt them Sunday but will keep them under 10.5 wins with a +120 value. The Rams total sits at (7.5, even money) and not only do I like the over, but I like their +150 division odds as well. Even with a tougher schedule this year they still play 6 games vs. the own division where every team (SF, Sea, and Arz) could be worse than last season.
San Diego -9 vs. Minnesota: Betting on Norv and the Bolts early in the season hasn't been a profitable move, but they have to end that streak this season, right? Opening at home vs. a McNabb led team is as favorable as possible and no team benefits more from the change in kickoff position. The law of averages has to favor the SD special teams this season and this offense should average in 30's all season barring major injury to Rivers. Unless Minny turns to Percy Harvin running the Wildcat next to AP I think they will consistently struggle to score points. Diego's win total (10, -140) is a number I usual stay away from, but with the current state of the AFC West even Norv can't screw this up, right? Minny was 6-10 last season and that seems about right this season, so even a total at (7, even) isn't scaring me away. The overs I like in Minny is QB changes, AP carries, and then AP's holdout next offseason.
Dallas + 5 @ NY Jets: For the first time in years the Cowboys seem to be keeping a low profile and that has to be due to new coach Jason Garrett, whereas there is still a lot of noise coming out of Rex Ryan's Jets camp. This is one of the best games of opening weekend and is better than both Monday night games (NE/Miami, Oak/Den). Romo and Dez Byrant are healthy and the Cowboys have depth at running back, if the other Ryan (Rob) can get the Boys D to play decent they should contend in the NFC East and go over their win total (9 + 105). The defense should get a nice start to the season vs. Mark Sanchez and the Jets conservative game plan Sunday night. Meanwhile, the Jets have lost Ellis and Jenkins on the D-line and will continue to rely heavily on an aging LT and an underperforming Shonn Greene. This is a statement game and I like the understated Garrett and his Cowboys to make the biggest statement. The Jets are a trendy Super Bowl pick so that is reason enough to take under (10) at -110.
Friday, August 26, 2011
Questionable Choice, Captain
Tuesday, August 16, 2011
Challenge Finale Odds
Wednesday, August 10, 2011
Shut Up Stevie
First off, where do you get the nerve to completely over shadow your new employer Adam "never trust a man with two first names" Scott. You would think, based on the coverage of Williams that he won the tournament. Scott was clearly the best player in the field for most of the week. Unfortunately, it was overshadowed by Stevie's "revenge" over a guy who hasn't played in months. Lucky for Adam he was able to be present for the biggest win of Stevie's career.
Career?
What career? You carry an oversized bag full of clubs around for a living.
How many fairways have you hit?
What is your sand save percentage?
And those 5 footers to save par? Right....
Let's call a spade a spade. You are a good caddy. You won many times on Raymond and Norman's bags, but do you really think that anyone knew, or for that matter, cared who the guy carrying the clubs was? The answer is no.
It wasn't until Tiger that you became a household name. 72 times Tiger reached into the 18th cup and pulled out his Nike ball, took off his cap and smiled victoriously. You were fortunate enough to be behind him in all of those occasions. You were lucky enough to be the guy that got to yell at paying fans to quit taking pictures or talking in Tiger's backswing. A lot of the criticism of those actions were directed at Tiger, but how much of it was you trying to draw attention to yourself. HEY, I'M OVER HERE! IF I YELL AT THESE FANS, I'LL DEFINATELY BE ONE TV. And you were the guy who got to share the screen with the generation's best golfer as the networks showed every single one of Tiger's shots. You owe him your so-called "career."
Yeah so if a casual fan was asked to name a caddy, the odds are that they would name you. However, this doesn't give you the right to run your mouth like you have actually done something. You read putts, carry the bag, and give distances. That's it. On average it is said that a good caddy can save 1 stroke per round. But how many strokes did Tiger save because of his brillance.
Tiger's career was headed down the crapper. He needed a change. He fired Hank Haney. He fired you. Thousands of people get fired everyday. Grow up and accept it. Granted, Tiger could have done it in person, and not over the phone, but this is the same guy that made you a multi-millionaire for simply carrying a bag for 4 days a week. It is what it is. Let it rest. You are financialy set, and you were able to get on the bag of a pretty decent player without any problem. It's Adam Scott, not Briny Baird.
If I was Scott, I'd fire Stevie too. There is no way that a caddy should be a bigger star than the PGA Tour professional. Scott seems like a pretty quiet guy, and the media firestorm that has been following Williams may be too much. If you never watched golf before and based your opinions on media coverage, you would have to think that Stevie won the Bridgestone and is heading into the PGA as a favorite.
How hard would it have been to say, "This was a great win for Adam. I'm thrilled to be on his bag and we are poised to contend week in and week out."
But not for Williams.
Without Tiger, he isn't a star. Not that he ever really was, but without Tiger his face time is exponentially less. He needs to make headlines. He needs to be in the public eye. He's a diva. And obviously his play can't do the talking, so he has to use his mouth.
Tiger's moved on, and now it's time for you to too.
Monday, August 8, 2011
PGA Championship Odds
Thursday, August 4, 2011
Tony Larussa; the man who keeps "crying" a part of baseball
Tony came to the ballpark Tuesday in a foul mood after his Cards were beaten by the Brewers 6-2 the night before and immediately filed a protest to the MLB offices accusing the Brewers of flashing a light on the LCD board only when the Cards were batting, because come on that has to be the reason Ryan Theriot and Skip Schumaker only have 3 combined HR's and why both are hitting below .275. MLB reviewed the footage before Tuesday's game and with evidence that the flashing light occurred for both teams, dismissed the protest promptly. While I am sure the lawyer in Tony began to immediately work on his appeal Tuesday night's game went on as scheduled.
The game was high scoring back and forth affair until Albert Pujols was hit with a pitch in the 7th inning. League wide strategy has been to pitch Pujols inside this year and it has been effective as Pujols is hitting a career low .275 (24 HR's, 65 RBI's, .342 OBP, .513 SLG, .855 OPS) in his last year before free agency. Any little leaguer knew that the Brewers weren't intentionally trying to hit Pujols and even Tony admitted after the game he knew it was an accident, but Larussa did go on to say that he is fed up with people pitching inside to Pujols. I guess in Tony's mind pitching inside is a no-no, but when his mid to late 1980's Oakland A's players (most notably McGwire and Canseco) were shooting up steroids in the clubhouse everything was OK. Larussa and his Cards didn't wait long, in the next inning Cards pitcher Jason Motte threw two pitches over, the best player in the NL Central, Ryan Braun's (.324 BA, 21 HR, 73 RBI, .395 OBP, .582 SLG, .977 OPS) head and then hit him square in the back on the next pitch. Larussa was quoted after the game as saying "Yes, we hit Braun intentionally and to send a message". The Brewers fans were understandably upset and some close to the dugout even started yelling at Larussa, after the game Larussa labeled the Brewers fans "idiots" and said some fans made reference to his daughter and to his recent Shingles ailment. This can hardly be the first time the long time manager has been heckled and the fans were forced to leave by Brewers security (I have seen worse heckling in a middle school girls' basketball game). While we are on the subject of "idiot" fans, in Larussa's first spring training game after his DUI (asleep in his car at a stop sign with BAC of .093) the Cardinals fans gave him a standing ovation, stay classy Cards fans!
After the game and primarily due to Larrussa's comments about "idiot" Brewers fans and intentionally hitting Braun, the headline was the bad blood between the Cards and Brewers, but in reality the bad blood is all due to Larussa, just like every instance of bad blood between his teams recently. A few years ago Larussa refused to play Jason Bay in the All Star game, the Pirates only All-Star, due to a beef with the Pirates that season and last year his Cardinals feuded with the Reds over pitching inside. The constant in all of these instances of bad blood is the Cardinals and most notably Tony Larussa, like a child who can't get along with any of his classmates and refuses to reconize that he is the constant in every incident.
Like I said, Larussa has managed the second most games in MLB history and he likes to think he is "old school", but how many "old school" managers would take to the press to go after an opponent's fans and tell the world he hit Braun intentionally? With Pujols halfway out the door and his grip on the division slipping away for good after this season we can only hope Tony follows him and takes his crying with him.